Friday, October 1, 2010

Contender or Pretender? NFL Week #4 Picks

Week 4


Lions @ Packers -14.5

Losing to the Bears was a bit of a shock to me for the Packers, even with the sloppy game they played. Their running game needs to step up for Rodgers to be as effective as he was last year, which made them a Super Bowl contender. I think they’ll win the game here, but the spread is too much to cover, especially with a Lions team that is putting points on the board and looking impressive this year.

Broncos @ Titans -6.5

The Titans seemed to have their way with the Giants D, scoring on all fronts. CJ had a bounce back game, but did not look as good as Vince Young’s bounce-back performance. The Bronco’s question marks at RB will mean that they will have to really on Kyle Orton, who played relatively well last week. The Titans will get this, but it’ll be a close game so they won’t cover.

Bengals -3 @ Browns

The Bengals are staying competitive in the tough AFC North and with this rivalry game, they will continue to be competitive. The Browns have not really shown anything this season, however with Wallace at QB I feel they have a better fighting chance then with Delhomme. With that said, it still won’t be enough for the Browns to overcome the Bengals in this one.

Panthers @ Saints -13.5

The Saints lost a heartbreaker to the Falcons on a Garrett Hartley missed FG. The Panthers still do not have any potential plan of attack, even with Clausen in now. Look for the Saints to bounce back and score at will against the lowly Panthers.

Ravens @ Steelers -1.5

Charlie Batch was throwing TDs left and right last week in his first start for the Steelers in years. This is going to be a defensive battle, so the team who can battle through will ultimately prevail. Flacco has been somewhat shaky this year so far, even with a nice bounce-back game last week. Look for the Steelers to continue their winning ways.

Jets -4.5 @ Bills

The Jets are turning it around since their disappointing Week 1 loss. This game should be no problem for the Jets as, yes you guessed it, the Bills are still garbage. They did seem to wake up a little bit when Fitzpatrick became the starter, but they are by far the worst team in the NFL. The Jets will easily cover this small spread.

49ers @ Falcons -6.5

It has been quite a shock at how bad the 49ers have been playing. A lot of people predicted them to win the sluggish NFC West, but not at this pass. The Falcons are looking like an elite team in the NFL and coming off a great win against the Saints, they should continue to do so.

Seahawks -1 @ Rams

The first place Seahawks look to stay atop the division going up against the Rams, who are coming off a surprising win against the Redskins. If the Seahawks can keep up their D, look for them to not only win this game handedly, but also stay atop the NFC West.

Colts -8.5 @ Jaguars

Peyton Manning is off to his best start of his career and that’s saying a lot since Peyton has been an elite QB in the league for the last 10 years or so. The Colts as a team on the other hand are struggling a little bit, mostly on the defensive side. They recently have been playing better though. The Jags have no chance here as they have no offensive fire power.

Texans -3 @ Raiders

The Texans suffered a minor bump in their plan to prove the league they are a greatly improved team with the loss to the Cowboys last week, however they get the Raiders this week. Gradkowski gave the Raiders some life, but it won’t be enough here to top the Texans.

Cardinals @ Chargers -8

The Chargers are prone to slow starts in their recent seasons so there should be no red flags here….yet. They usually do step up as the season progresses. They have some ground to make up in the AFC West as the Chiefs are off to a hot start. They should hopefully have no problem here against the Cardinals, however I’d caution with the high spread here.

Redskins @ Eagles -6

This is the game of the week by far. The return of McNabb to Philadelphia could not come any sooner. The Eagles are playing great football and are showing that they are the top dogs in the tough NFC East. Vick is playing like a man on fire. McNabb on the other hand will come out guns blazing. That’s why I’m taking the Redskins here, even though the Eagles will probably win.

Bears @ Giants -3

What is happening with the Giants? They go from a stellar defensive team, to a team that shows up like its playing with 5 people out there. Eli the Magnificant and Ahmad Bradshaw cannot carry the team when the defense is giving up 29 points to a team like the Titans. Cutler has stepped up so far this season and it shows with the Bears being unbeaten so far. I like the Bears here, especially with points.

Patriots -1 @ Dolphins

Brady and Moss have found the connection that led them to a Super Bowl years back. They came up short last week against the Jets. There looking to improve this week especially against division foes. The Dolphins can’t afford to lose any more ground in the tight AFC East. This game could go either way, but look for the Patriots to bounce-back and take it to the Dolphins.

Lock of the Week- New York Jets

Record: 23-23-2 (7-9) Locks- 3 for 3

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