Thursday, September 23, 2010

Get Er Done - Week # 3 Picks

Week 3

Bengals -3 @ Panthers

Looks like the Jimmy Clausen era has officially begun. That didn’t take too long. The Panthers are a struggling team right now, while the Bengals are a team competing to win the AFC North. Look for the Bengals to take the game.

49ers -1 @ Chiefs

The 49ers and Chiefs very well could be in opposite roles right now. The Chiefs are playing like a team that they haven’t seen in years, but how long can they really play this hot streak. I think the trail stops here as the 49ers put up a good effort against the Saints last week in a bounce-back game for the D.

Lions @ Vikings -10.5

Favre and the Vikings are still winless. Who would have thought that? I’m sure this is not what he signed back up for. The Vikings just don’t seem as explosive as they did last year, even with AP running like a beast. The Vikings will win here, but they won’t cover the spread, as surprisingly the Lions are playing very impressive football.

Cowboys @ Texans -2.5

How bout them Cowboys? The better question may be how bout them Texans?? The Texans are finally playing up to their potential on both sides of the ball. The Battle of Texas will be a good one as Big D does not want to lose another game and possibly their coach, but I think the Texans will take this one.

Falcons @ Saints -3.5

The defending champs are truly playing to their form, as they are the best team in football right now. This will be their first big test of the year, as the Falcons are playing some pretty good football too. Matt Ryan and Co. will put up some points, but not enough to overcome the Saints high-powered O.

Steelers -2.5 @ Buccaneers

Three games into the season and the Steelers are on their 3rd different QB. Charlie Batch will take the reins for this game, but I don’t think it will matter for the Steelers. The Bucs are playing good football, but the ship stops here as the Steelers are a much better team than any they faced this year so far. Look for the Steelers to win in usual fashion.

Browns @ Ravens -10.5

The Ravens absolutely exploded last game, and I don’t mean that in a good way. Flacco threw about 7 picks (give or take a few) and Boldin was m.i.a. The D played decent only giving up 15 points. Look for them to bounce back here and put up some points against the lowly Browns.

Titans @ Giants -3

Was the benching of Vince Young really needed? I mean do the Titans really expect to think that Kerry Collins can still play football? CJ saw his 13 game consecutive streak of 100yd rushing come to an end with the loss to the Steelers. The Giants could not even come close to stopping Peyton, but then again that is no easy task. The G-Men will play better than last week, but look for CJ and the Titans to build a little streak of their own here.

Bills @ Patriots -14

Three weeks into the season and yes, the Bills are still garbage. I feel bad for them though. They have played some pretty tough competition and it doesn’t help that they are in the toughest division in football. That being said however, no matter who they put at QB or RB, they are still a horrid team. I wasn’t sure if the Packers could cover last week, but since they did it gives me confidence going into this game, especially with the Pats coming off a loss to the Jets.

Eagles -3 @ Jaguars

This is what I have been waiting for the last 3 years. Vick is a starter again. He is by far the most exciting player to watch in the NFL. The Eagles are coming off a shootout with the Lions, while the Jaguars just got crushed by the Chargers last week. Look for Vick and the Eagles to excite the crowd and the scoreboard.

Redskins -3.5 @ Rams

Sam Bradford has been playing surprisingly well for the Rams, probably much better than anyone expected. McNabb has been playing like the old McNabb and has given some life to the Redskins in the tough NFC East. It seems like they are the team to beat. The Rams will put up a fight, but it won’t be enough to overcome the Redskins.

Chargers -5.5 @ Seahawks

The Chargers finally played like the team that they are suppose to be, scoring in buckets against the Jaguars. Vincent Jackson or not, the Chargers are still going to be throwing the ball like crazy. If Rivers cuts down on the INT’s, he’ll have a career year. The Seahawks did a complete 180 between Week 1 and 2, as they just got decimated by the Broncos. The Chargers are going to put up similar numbers like last week and take the game.

Raiders @ Cardinals -4.5

It wasn’t long before QB’s switch in Oakland, however I don’t know if I agree with the decision. What was the point of bringing Jason Campbell in if Bruce Gradkowski is just going to start again? Analysts said that the team had more life when Gradkowski was in, so I’m gonna play along too with that. The Cardinals have yet to show anything to prove they can win a game, let along score some points.

Colts -5.5 @ Broncos

Peyton Manning seemed unstoppable against little Eli and the Giants. The Broncos D has been playing well but it’s going to be tough to stop Manning and his crew, as usual. Plus the Colts can’t fall behind the Texans in the division this early in the season.

Jets @ Dolphins -1.5

The Jets finally backed up all the talk they had during training camp and held the Patriots in check. I don’t see why they can’t do it to the Dolphins as well, considering the Dolphins are a run heavy team and the Jets have the best run D in the game. The loss of Revis won’t be that much of a factor. The Dolphins have been playing good football, but are not scoring as many points they would need to be the Jets in this game.

Packers -3 @ Bears

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are on a mission this year: to make the Super Bowl and they sure as hell are playing well enough to do so. This is going to be a tough test for them, as last year Rodgers struggled real badly against the Bears. Jay Cutler has been a surprise story this year so far, as he has led the Bears to a 2-0 record. This is going to be a close game, but look for the Packers to continue in their quest for the trophy.

Lock of the Week- Philadelphia Eagles

Record: 16-14-2 (7-8-1) Locks: 2 for 2

Thursday, September 16, 2010

NFL Week # 2..surprises surprises

Here they are folks! Your Week #2 NFL Pciks!

Week 2


Eagles -5 @ Lions
The late second loss for the Lions will be disappointing, however I don’t think they can bounce back against a Vick-leaded Eagles offense. He looked good when he came in for the injured Kolb. This should be an exciting game to watch from the Eagles perspective.

Bears @ Cowboys -9
Cutler had an exciting game, as he was second in passing yards in the NFL in Week 1, but that was against the Lions. The Cowboys were below par in their performance against the Skins, and should be looking to bounce back and score some points against the Bears, however this spread may be too much for them to cover

Buccaneers @ Panthers -3
Matt Moore had too many turnovers for the Panthers, as the Jimmy Clausen era may be coming sooner than people think. Their run game looked good against the Giants but I think the Bucs will surprise here, trying to go 2-0.

Chiefs @ Browns -2
Gotta give props to the Chiefs D and special teams that looked awesome against the high-powered offense of the Chargers. The Browns didn’t do anything impressive in Week 1, in what I thought would be a win, against the Bucs. Look for the Chiefs to win the game, without the help of points if they play like last week.

Cardinals @ Falcons -7
It was a tough loss for the Falcons last week against the Steelers. The Cardinals just squeaked by the Rams last week. Look for Roddy White to have another monster game against the Cardinals.

Dolphins @ Vikings -6
The Dolphins held up my Lock Pick for Week 1 by being granted an intentional safety, as they beat the Bills. I thought they would handle them easily and put up more points. The Vikings on the other hand had no problem putting up points against the Saints solid D and should have no problem here.

Steelers @ Titans -5.5
CJ seemed to pick up where he left off from last year, having another monster game. The Steelers won an OT thriller on a Mendenhall 50-yd rush, which really surprised me. The Steelers D is still good, but look for CJ to have another good game in the Titans home opener.

Ravens -1.5 @ Bengals
Seems like the Ravens shocked the world when they beat the Jets last week. They didn’t shock me, in the low-scoring defensive trench war. Rice did not have a productive game, but who would against the Jets D, besides Boldin that is who had 100+yds. The Bengals had a shootout with the Patriots, but look for the Ravens here, especially with this low spread.

Bills @ Packers -14
These games are always tough to pick because a two touchdown spread is a tough swing either way. I’m taking the Packers here because let’s face it, the Bills are still garbage. Rodgers will recover from last week and Jackson will have no problem replacing Grant this week against a lowly Bills D.

Seahawks @ Broncos -3.5
The Pete Carol led Seahawks put up surprising points against a solid 49ers D in Week 1. Hasselback looked like the QB of old, while at the same time Orton for the Broncos put up a near 300yd passing game. Let’s see if the Seahawks can keep it rolling, getting some points here.

Rams @ Raiders -3.5

Campbell will do some good for the Raiders, who have desperately needed a solid QB after Rich Ganon retired (what a name drop). Their home here too so that will help and their also playing the Rams, which helped even more.

Jaguars @ Chargers -7.5
I’m not going to make excuses for the Chargers performance last week, but all I will say that it is tough to throw the ball 40 times in a game with a heavy downpour in your face. Just saying. The Jaguars will be a tough Week 2 opponent as the Chargers have had trouble stopping the run and MJD is as good as anyone in the league. Look for Rivers and the Bolts to bounce back and have a big game to get back to even.

Patriots -2 @ Jets
So Mark Sanchize thinks the Jets are going 15-1 the rest of the way? I don’t think so. They’ll be lucky if they can win 2 games in the next 5 weeks. Their D looked as good as advertised, but it’s that struggling O led by the Sanchize himself that will have Mike Tannenbaum pulling more of his hair out then he did during the Revis negotiations. Looks for Brady and the Pats to squeeze by here.

Texans -3 @ Redskins
What a performance by the Texans. They really surprised everyone by putting the numbers up they did against the Colts. McNabb looked McNabb-like against the Cowboys last week, but I don’t think it will be good enough here. Look for the Texans to stay on a role and make some noise from this week out.

Giants @ Colts -6
Manning v. Manning. A match-up that will be sure to excite Archie beyond belief, I’m sure. A better question to ask then who is going to win the game should be, who will Archie cheer for. Will he play both sides of the fence, or will be take a stand and cheer for his non-retarded looking son? That’s Peyton by the way. Peyton’s pissed about losing to the Texans I’m sure. If he put up 400+yds in that game, imagine what he will do against Eli and the Giants? 500+?? Don’t be surprised if he puts up numbers like Week 1 again.

Saints -6 @ 49ers
The Saints looked good against the Vikings in Week 1. The 49ers on the other hand, did not look good against the Seahawks. I wish Alex Smith the best as he has been through a lot in his life, but he needs to play like he did in the final weeks of the season last year if he wants to keep his job. The 49ers D also went M.I.A. They’ll show up here, but not enough to stop the Saints.

Lock of the Week- Kansas City Chiefs

Record: 9-6-1 (9-6-1)

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Don’t Bet On the Jets

With Super Bowl aspirations coming into the year, I personally cannot see how the Jets can expect to be a .500 team, let alone a Super Bowl contender. Though the recent season of Hard Knocks offered some interesting and exciting Jets entertainment, their performance in first game was nothing to write home about, showing an anemic offense and an undisciplined secondary.

The Jets D did what they are known to do, slowing down a pretty talented Raven’s group, however, despite their efficiently up front, a glaring weakness in the Jets defensive coat of armor was exposed. Penalties and an inexperienced defensive back in Kyle Wilson allowed Flacco to slice up the Jets in the passing game. With long completions to Heap and Boldin, Flacco was able to overcome the poor field position that the Raven’s continually had to fight against and help Baltimore squeak out a win.

Exciting football for a Monday night marquee matchup? Not at all.

The Jets almost had more penalty yards than yards on offense, with the refs truly being the stars of this match up. 176 total yards for the Jets, with only 74 yards passing. Ouch!

Now, with a defensive like the Jets have you can expect them to win some games, however, until Sanchez can grow up a little bit, I do not see how this team can consider itself Super Bowl bound, or even play off bound for that matter. Pretty pathetic display if you ask me and now with NFL.com reporting breaking news that Chris Jenkins is out for the year (ACL tear), the Jets D beings to look a little softer up front.



With the next 5 games being New England, Miami, Buffalo, the Vikings, and Denver it is feasible to think the Jets could be 2-4 or even 1-5 going into their week #7 bye. Scary stuff for a team with such high hopes.

Are the Jets headed to the AFC east basement?? Oh wait, they already are there!

Let me know how you feel about this, because from where I’m sitting, the Jets have some serious work to do if they want to make some noise this year.

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Lesbian Love Fest invades the Wild Wild West

On my recent trip to AC last weekend, I witnessed something that I only would have imagined in Vegas..An Asian Lesbian Love Fest!


Weird? Yes!
Intriguing? Not at All!

There is no arguing that the Asian culture monopolizes the casino floor, but this was certainly a first! Six butch ladies, practically getting it on at the blackjack table, taking away from the minimal ambiance that Bally’s offers ruining the gambling experience.



Now, I say to each their own, but this was seriously disgusting.

I don’t know how you all may feel about this, but imagine sitting at a table trying to play a game, and having these six, butt uglies, falling all over the place and slowing down the game.

Let me know what you think, because I was seriously going off the wall with this and wanted to make sure that I wasn’t crazy.

Friday, September 10, 2010

Fools Gold

To Split or Not to Split – Is that really even a question?


While playing Blackjack or Spanish 21, I have often seen young, reckless players split a hand of 20. Though this often creates frustration for the table, I have routinely pondered if this move is worth it. Is it wise to break up the second best possible hand in hopes of obtaining two equally strong, if not stronger hands?

My answer…No!

Looking at an 8-shoot deck of regular Blackjack (no card counting implied), there are 128 cards with a face value of 10. Now let us imagine that the player is the only one playing, has a hand of 20, with the dealer having an up card anywhere from a 2-9. With this scenario, it mathematically does not make sense to split up the 20 as the player has only a 30% chance of getting 1 additional 10 and a 9% chance that they will get 2 additional 10s. Now imagine that a number of 10’s have already come out of the deck from previous hands, and chances for success drop even more!

So why do players split 20’s then? It’s called gambling folks!

Now, my argument against splitting 10s goes far beyond the poor mathematical probability is offers for success. The more glaring instance I have seen, in my abbreviated gambling career, is where one lucky, well not so lucky better, split his 10s, got two hands of 20, only to see the dealers 12 turn into a 21.

Therefore, my argument against not splitting 10s is to just play the game like it’s supposed to be played. Hit when you are supposed to hit and stand when you are supposed to stand. Remember, there are other people at the table too, who often have a lot more wagered then some hot shot who will split 10s. Gambling is more fun when you win, so play the game like it should be played and sit back and let the winnings pile up.

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Asian Invasion

Busses of Asians bring boat loads of trouble in PA.

For as long as one can remember, gambling has often been intertwined with Las Vegas, flashy/high class shows, and…..Asians?

Yes..it is true. No culture embraces gambling more than Asians. Though Las Vegas is the proclaimed Mecca of the gambling world, the shores of Macau has become the new gambling hop spot, offering hot action and behemoth casinos.

The Las Vegas Sands, which has hedged its future on its brand new Macau palace, has also ventured into the Pennsylvania gambling arena, with the opening of the PA Sands at the site of the old Bethlehem Steel. With its proximity to the city (1.5 hours to NYC and Philly), partaking in the gambling fun is merely a car or bus trip away.

Now, the majority of casino goers that have ventured over to the PA Sands, are there to take in the sights and sounds. However, according to information obtained from a third party source employed at the casino, theft and thievery has become a reoccurring problem, especially within the Asian community.

Thinking back a few months, there was a story that made the front page of the local newspapers, where a supposedly friendly Asian woman was helping elderly casino goers withdraw funds from the various ATM’s scattered around the casino floor. Now I am not exactly sure how money ended up being stolen, however, it was reported that this “helpful” lady would steal the pin numbers of those she was supposedly helping, making off with significant sums of money. She was eventually caught when her elderly victims realized funds were missing from their accounts and the PA Sands security team used video surveillance to trace the thievery to this individual.

Problem solved, right? Not exactly.

Recently, casino thievery has reverted back to the old pick-pocket style, and according to the source, has become a very common theme. This makes sense when you look and see that the Sands has three security guards at ever entrance to apply wristbands to younger casino goers, while having poor floor presence where the actual gaming is taking place.

The new tactic:

According to my casino source, what he and others have been seeing quite frequently is that the bus loads of Asians have not only been brining gamblers to the casino, but also thieves. The tactic being employed? Overcrowding at table games, which creates uncomfortably close situations/contact and allows for an experienced pick-pocketer to loot while all the while being undetected.

According to the source, this has happened on multiple occasions, with the thieves appearing to be male, as the emptied wallets are found stuffed in the paper towel dispensers in the men’s bathroom. No arrests have been reported to date for these instances.

Therefore, I say, next time you venture to the PA Sands, bring keep your wallet closely guarded, because if the casino doesn’t steal all your money, you can bet that these thieves will.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Pick - Em NFL Week #1 Picks

Week 1


Vikings @ Saints -5
I like the Vikings here. Yes the Saints are the defending Super Bowl Champs but I never really believed into their hype with their D especially. Considering the Vikings are getting 5 points here, take them.

Dolphins -3 @ Bills
The Bills are garbage. They have no firepower on offense and they have a Swiss-cheese D. With the Dolphins only giving 3 points, I think this is a steal.

Raiders @ Titans -6.5
The Titans are clearly the better team here, yet the Raiders D is getting stronger. The Titans should win this game with CJ hopefully dominating, but I don’t know if they can cover. Take the Titans cautiously.

Broncos -2.5 @ Jaguars
I don’t like Kyle Orton as a QB and I don’t think that Moreno can carry the whole team. MJD will be running everywhere. I like the Jags, especially getting points.

Panthers @ Giants -7
If Eli doesn’t play as retarded as he looks, the Giants will be a good team. If the D can step up and play better then last year, I don’t see why they can’t win here, especially giving a touchdown. Giants.

Colts -2.5 @ Texans
Can’t see why this spread is so small. The Texans do have a high power offense and play well against the Colts, but I mean who can deny Peyton. The Colts will go as far as he can take them. Take the Colts confidently.

Falcons -2.5 @ Steelers
The Steelers are going to struggle without Big Ben, as I don’t think there good enough without him. I like the Falcons here, but its going to be a close game I think.

Browns @ Bucs -2.5
This game sucks. It’s two bottom barrel teams going at it, when in the end may come down to that respective team’s only win for a while, however if I had to pick, I’d take the new and improved Browns.

Bengals @ Patriots -4.5
T.O and Ocho can’t talk there way to a win here, as the Patriots will be the team in this game. I don’t think the points will be tough to cover here, there two powerful of an offense.

Lions @ Bears -6

This may be a shocker here, but I like the Lions here. It may be the only time I’ll think they can win compete, but the Bears are not the Bears of old and 6 points is a lot to cover.

Packers -3 @ Eagles
Two very good teams here, but Aaron Rodgers is their post-Favre savior. He scores in bunches and is a fantasy god. 3 points should be nothing for the Packers to cover.

49ers -3 @ Seahawks
I want to see what Pete Carol brings to the table before I jump on board. Plus the 49ers D is a force and Frank Gore is going to be a monster for them. 49ers.

Cardinals -3.5 @ Rams
The retirement of Warner will not be good for the Cardinals, as Derek Anderson is not a starting QB in the NFL. I like them here solely because they are playing the lowly Rams.

Cowboys -3.5 @ Redskins
The Redskins will give good competition to the NFC East this year with a coach who can handle the high-money players down there, but the Cowboys are still a better team. Cowboys are good here.

Ravens @ Jets -2.5
It’s going to be a hard-knock first game for the Jets in Week 1. The Ravens are going to be a force in the AFC this year. The Jets have a great D, especially with Revis signed, but the Ravens match-em in that department, but have the better QB of the teams. Ravens win here with the points.

Chargers -4.5 @ Chiefs
Ahhh the San Diego Chargers. The Chargers are going to score at will in this game, as Rivers is going to come out looking strong. The question will be if their D can stop them and look like a great D should look like. Chargers win the game and cover the spread here.

Lock of the Week- Dolphins

Sunday, September 5, 2010

Are you kidding me?!?!

Did that really happen?!?

This weekend, while at the blackjack table I saw probably one of the dumbest moves I've seen in a long time. 

Hitting on a 17!!!

Stupid kid not only busted with a 27 but also took the dealers bust card away, and that dealer 12 turned into a 19, beating the entire table rather than a 22 and a table win. 

Selfish? Yes
Stupid? Definitely

This was just a common theme this weekend and AC, a place where players  usually have a basic understanding of the game, looked more like the Bethlehem Sands, where every novice and moron comes to play. 

Frustrating? You bet? 

You just don't expect this level of stupidity. 

Please share your gambling stupidity stories!! 

Friday, September 3, 2010

Sunday Funday - Superbowl 45 odds

College football has begun, the NFL preseason is wrapping up and the big time betting is about to begin. Popular these days are the weekly picks, however, the real money is ready to be made by those who can pick the 2011 Superbowl champ prior to the first play from scrimmage. 

At the top are the perennial powerhouse Colts. With Peyton at the helm this team is almost guaranteed a spot in the playoffs, however, at 13 to 2 odds, I would shy away from this team. Good? Always. The best? Early, often, but rarely sustained. 

Following up on their amazing run in 2009/2010, the Saints are a close second at 7 to 1 odds. Possibility for a repeat is there, but it will be tough for both Breese and that defense to repeat their performances from last year. Last time the Saints were this good they had a mediocre showing the following year. Though I do not expect a poor repeat performance, my expectation for this team is a second round exit to the Packers as Aaron Rodgers finally rakes control of the NFC over an aging and almost blind Favre. 

Tied for third are Da Boys and the Bolts at 17 to 2. Are you kidding me?!?! The last time the Cowboys were regarded so high, Romo got hurt and they finished a mediocre 9 -9, getting trounced by the Eagles on the last game of the year, with a spot in the playoffs on the line. Now let me tell you, I was there and that wasn't even a game. Playoffs for Da Boys this year!? I'd say so. Superbowl run? Most likely not. Face it, they won their first playoff game last year since '95 only to watch the Vikings D turn Romo into their b****. Cowboys ousted conference championship by the.....Packers, my pick at 9 to 1, but more about that in a bit. 

The bolts look good to win the AFC. No more LT distraction out there, and granted they get off to a good start for once, an easier road through the playoffs. Rivers is a true leader and the Chargers have a strong offensive attack, solid defensive core, and adequate coaching. Chargers over the Colts when Peyton's last drive comes up short.

Now for my Superbowl pick. At 9-1, the Packers offer good odds. Aaron Rodgers has shown the ability not only to win, but lead and with a crippled Farve in his division, the Packers chances are that much better. Granted the o-line can keep Rodgers off his back and healthy, the Packers have a solid young core on both sides of the field with a winning qb. My prediction: Packers over the Bolts 27-24

Don't sleep on: Patriots

Tom terrific is going to lead to Patriots to a great season and with a certain key player returning, they should provide some exciting football. With The Revis situation in NYC, the Patriots will find the path to the post season a lot less bumpy, with a strong possibility that they could make some serious noise this year. 

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Puck Off - Sports Bet Extra

The sport of hockey, arguably, has the most grueling schedule in all of sports. From the start of training camp, it takes about 9 months to win the holy grail of all sports trophies, the Stanley Cup. As time progresses, injuries, trades, etc, change the outlook for all teams. It takes a little bit of skill, mixed with a lot a bit of luck in order to be the team that gets to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup. The luck is extremely important for not only the players vying to be the best, but also for the gamblers looking to win big. Having basic knowledge of the sport does not help win money, unless you’re lucky, or you’ve been betting on one team for the last 35 years. This isn’t a hockey blog, so I won’t bore you with Sidney Crosby’s jock strap, or Alexander Ovechkin’s…..these. What I will give you is the information you need to formulate an opinion on how to best spend your money. Thus, I present to you my NHL team breakdown for gambling purposes.


The West:

The only 3 teams worth looking at are the Vancouver Canucks, San Jose Sharks, and Detroit Red Wings.

Everybody else:


As far as the 3 teams I’ve listed as potential winners are concerned, the real team worth betting on is the Detroit Red Wings. The Vancouver Canucks spent millions this year upgrading their defense, but when push comes to shove in Roberto Luongo’s crease, he won’t be able to handle it. Teams already know the way to beat them is by crowding his crease. Therefore, they won’t make it beyond the conference finals. The San Jose Sharks are a perennial cup contender that just can’t cut it come April. However, the kink in their armor (Evgeni Nabokov) is finally gone, and they have a proven cup winning goalie with a chip on his shoulder signed for this upcoming year in Antti Niemi. However, their defense is not nearly as deep as in past years, and this is what will make them fall short. The Detroit Red Wings, in my opinion, are the deepest, most cup capable team that can come out of the West. With the additions of Veteran, American, and former Olympian Mike Modano (a.k.a. Mr. Willa Ford- seriously, google her), as well as Jiri Hudler, who’s back from Russia, the Red wings are 4 lines deep, with the defense and goaltending from their win 3 seasons ago. Personally, I believe this is the team to bet on. The Champions of this past season, the Chicago Blackhawks were at 6 to 1 odds, but this is a sucker bet. They’re bringing back 12 of the 22+ players it took to win the cup, and replacing them with rookies and low priced veterans that nobody else wanted. There is no possible way they make it past the first round.

Where I put my $100- Detroit Red Wings (13 to 1 odds on bodog.com)

The East:

There are multiple teams in the Western Conference that can be deemed powerhouses, however very few have the makings of a Champion. There are 4 potential teams that can make it out of the East; the Pittsburgh Penguins, Washington Capitals, Boston Bruins, and Philadelphia Flyers. The Devils are often considered part of this group, but aside from Zach Parise, Martin Brodeur, and Ilya Kovalchuk (big assumption, I know), theres nothing there. They will make the playoffs because they’re the New Jersey Devils, but after that, don’t buy any round 2 tickets for Newark. Of the 4 previous teams listed, the Capitals are a sucker bet. Last season, they couldn’t make it past the first round even though they had 28+ NHL ready players on their roster. Last I checked they were 7.5 to 1, which is a sucker bet to go along with the Blackhawks in the west. Once the opposing team shuts down Ovechkin, they shut down the Capitals. Next please…The Boston Bruins are definitely going to be among the best in the East. They have 3 lines of offensively capable players, and the goaltending of a contender, but the defense is suspect. Without any midseason acquisitions, they won’t be playing for the Cup come June. Therefore, its down to the Pennsylvania boys; Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. Any team looking to win the cup will have to come through Pennsylvania first. Both teams have great defenses, quite easily top 3 in the league. Forwards are about even; The Penguins have two of the best players in the league, but the Flyers are deeper on the wings, so that’s a wash. Goaltending is going to make or break both teams. It’s difficult to choose between both teams, and it will all be based upon luck as far as injuries are concerned.

Where I put my $100- $50 on Pitt, $50 on Philly.

So there you have it, it’s a 3 horse race; Detroit, Philly, and Pittsburgh. With separate bets on each team, you should come out ahead. Again, trades, injuries, contract cancellations, hot streaks, etc, could all have bearing on what happens to any of the 30 teams. Hopefully with this breakdown, you should now be able to make an informed decision on where you want to put your money.

The Devil’s Game

All of you roulette and gambling enthusiast out there have probably heard at one time or another, that the casino is the Devil’s playground. Gamblers, often sitting at tables for hours on end, bet all but their soles for a chance at riches, with no clocks on the walls to tell you how much of your life has been wasted and cold air running across the casino floor to keep you awake.
Personally, I think that such statements are over dramatic and nonsense as the majority of casino goers frequent these establishments for the pure enjoyment and excitement that gambling can offer. Though it is inevitable that someone, somewhere out there is betting money they shouldn’t, most gamblers, novice and experienced alike, are rational individuals who eventually know when to stop.

Despite knowing this, it is hard to overlook one glaring and freaky fact about gambling and in particular, roulette, that will make a chill run up any gamblers back. When adding up all the numbers on a roulette wheel, American and European style alike, it equals 666. This coincidence, along with roulette’s high house edge, gives this game a very inauspicious feel. Black and Red spaces on the wheel, numbers adding up to 666, it is all very creepy if you ask me, especially when the ledged says that roulette’s creator made a deal with the devil to obtain eh secrets of the game.

Therefore, I have to say that this one is still open for debate, however, knowing this is enough to keep this gambler at the blackjack tables, as any way you slice it, 21 is a lot luckier than 666.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

A Numbers Game

Though each spin of the roulette wheel is an isolated event and there is no system that will beat the wheel in the long-run, I am sure that anyone who has taken a seat at a table has seen a pattern of repeating or “hot” numbers in short-period time. On an American style roulette wheel, each number has a 1 in 38 or 2.6% chance of coming up. As past spins do not affect future results, as in the game of blackjack, these odds hold true for each and every spin. Therefore, how is it that we often see certain numbers come up multiple times in a short period of time, or even back to back?
The answer: Coincidence

The 1 in 38 odds are based off the expected return in the long-run. Just as flipping a coin has a 50/50 chance of coming up either heads or tails, often times there will be streaks in the short-run that temporarily conquer the expected long-term results. For example, after the first ten flips of a coin it might be 7 heads and 3 tails, however the more the coin is flipped, it is likely that the two results will begin to approach each other, ultimately evening out.

In the game of roulette, a winning number does not need to be selected every spin in order to be successful. Based on a payout of 36 to 1, picking a number that slightly beats the expected odds and comes up just 1 in every 35 spins, will make you a winner. As it is possible to win a game of chance in the short-run, my proposed strategy for roulette is to pick a number, or set of numbers, hope for luck, and play them consecutively. If you so happen to pick a “hot” number or set of numbers, then during that time period, you will see your winnings increase quickly. My recommendation however, understanding that odds even out in the long-run, is not to fall in love with a specific number of set of numbers, because what is hot now, will ultimately cool off.

I recommend going to a roulette table, watching a few spins and then sitting down with your chips in hand. Bet on a number or group of numbers you wish, and in the event that lady luck smiles your way and you beat the expected odds a few times, change your group and start again. I never recommend chasing a set of numbers in hopes of hitting it big, however, based on how the odds play out in the long-run, if you happen to hit a certain number or group of numbers multiple times in a short-period, the prudent and wise move is to switch to a new group and starting the process all over again.

Games of chance, such as roulette, require lots of luck to generate large returns, however, understanding the long-run odds and the short-term possibilities, it is very possible to have a profitable night betting at the wheel.